Quote of the Day | 0502

there is a serious cost to excess certainty. Whenever an analyst or academic presents a number or a conclusion with too much precision, they reduce the demand for better evidence. Why run a pilot, set up a proper survey, if the answer is already known to three decimal places?

The fact is that our political system simply does not take evidence seriously.

Tim Harford, ‘Why we’re all far too sure of ourselves’

Boeklog on Harford

[x]#8680 fan maandag 2 mei 2011 @ 09:56:26